Press conference supporting data 25/11/2020

7 day rate of positive cases per 100,000 population (Pillar 1 & 2)

7 day rate of positive cases per 100,000 population (Pillar 1 & 2).

Source PHE: Data as of 5pm 24/11/2020. Other published figures may be slightly different due to different reporting periods, or reporting dates.

  Week ending 30/10/2020 Week ending 06/11/2020 Week ending 13/11/2020 Week ending 20/11/2020
Greater Manchester

556.3

525.7

432.4

291.7

Bolton

539.0

544.3

450.0

329.0

Bury

566.0

586.4

480.1

328.8

Manchester

498.0

442.6

382.6

265.5

Oldham

732.1

763.8

574.8

401.9

Rochdale

583.2

619.1

531.9

372.3

Salford

636.3

572.2

458.2

273.9

Stockport

447.8

375.2

339.4

219.5

Tameside

552.8

476.8

410.6

265.4

Trafford

378.8

394.3

343.8

190.4

Wigan

683.7

604.9

444.5

317.0


Regional comparison of the growth in infections in the last 2 weeks

Regional comparison of the growth in infections in the last 2 weeks
Region Greater Manchester East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East South West West Midlands Yorkshire & The Humber England
Increase in 7 day incidence rate between 06/11/20 and 20/11/20

-45%

-16%

17%

17%

-11%

-39%

19%

-12%

-3%

-30%

-13%


Weekly Pillar 2 testing per 100,000 population

Weekly Pillar 2 testing per 100,000 population
Date Bolton Bury Manchester Oldham Rochdale Salford Stockport Tameside Trafford Wigan Greater Manchester
24/10/2020

2867

2879

3061

3436

3261

3171

2644

2980

2787

3132

3022

31/10/2020

2659

2782

3068

3377

3147

3164

2721

2971

2806

3157

2993

07/11/2020

2369

2830

2488

3372

2816

2627

2474

2679

2415

2824

2658

14/11/2020

2314

2823

2374

3291

2950

2365

2508

2682

2235

2532

2564

21/11/2020

2263

2408

2194

2909

2800

1986

2269

2495

1957

2318

2330

Positivity rate 15-21 November

Positivity rate 15-21 November
Date Bolton Bury Manchester Oldham Rochdale Salford Stockport Tameside Trafford Wigan Greater Manchester
15-21 November 12.6% 12.5% 11.4% 13.6% 12.7% 12.5% 9.6% 10.4% 8.7% 11.4% 11.6%

Percentage of Greater Manchester care home residents with confirmed Covid-19 or showing symptoms

Date 20/10/2020 27/10/2020 03/11/2020 10/11/2020 17/11/2020 24/11/2020
Percentage

1.7%

2.5%

3.2%

4.1%

3.5%

3.3%


Number of COVID-19 cases occupying hospital beds in Greater Manchester

 

19/10/2020

26/10/2020

02/11/2020

09/11/2020

16/11/2020

23/11/2020

Weekly admissions to hospitals for COVID-19

39

67

131

98

104

82

Weekly in-patient diagnoses for COVID-19

493

649

779

755

697

550

 

20/10/2020

27/10/2020

03/11/2020

09/11/2020

17/11/2020

24/11/2020

Number of HDU/ITU beds with COVID-19 patients on specified date

62

100

126

129

160

139

Number of beds (excluding HDU/ITU) with COVID-19 patients on specified date

615

829

1049

1208

1184

1036

  • Utilisation of GM HDU/ITU beds for both COVID-19 and non COVID-19 patients on 24/11/20 was 76.3%. Note that HDU/ITU capacity is flexible and extra beds can be brought on line if required.

  • The hospital admission figures are of people who had a confirmed case of COVID-19 in the 14 days prior to admission.

  • The weekly inpatient diagnoses are patients who received a confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis after being admitted to hospital.

  • Figures only include data for NHS Acute Trusts

  • The in hospital data used is a subset of the data that is published monthly by the NHS. It will not be made available at an organisation level.


Five key indicators for use in tiering decisions

  Current value % Change over two weeks
Indicators as set out in national COVID-19 Winter Plan Date Range

Greater Manchester

North West

England

Greater Manchester

North West

England

a. Case detection rates in all age groups

7 day cases per 100,000 population between 14th to 20th November

291.7

237.3

217.6

-45%

-39%

-13%

b. Case detection rates in the over 60s

7 day cases per 100,000 population between 13th to 19th November

262.7

201.4

172.9

-42%

-35%

-8%

c. The rate at which cases are rising or falling

See percentage change figures

d. Positivity rate (the number of positive cases detected as a percentage of tests taken)

15th to 21st November

11.6%

8.6%

8.9%

-35%

-35%

-17%

e. Pressure on the NHS, including current and projected occupancy

Metrics uncertain - see separate slide for GM hospital position